Monday, November 06, 2006

Party Collapse Activity...

So I have different thoughts on the probable collapse of one the parties. First, the Democrats only need stronger leadership right now and the fringe needs to be consulted more. As for the Republicans, they will probably blow up soon (within 20 years). I predict that something like the Faithful Dems presented in class will form, as will a stronger libertarian party. I do not think however, they will be as moderate as the group said they will be. The best way for this party to gain strength will be to play from their base and build out. They should start by converting Republican South to FD (Faithful Dem) South. From that they can win district by conservative district in traditional Dem states. The Libertarians will have to decide what is more important to them: personal freedom, or economic freedom. If personal, they will join the Dem's. If economic, they will form a small third party that might be able to compete locally but not nationally.

I do think the Democrats could pull of a 50 state win, if and only if they developed tighter unity and took back control of the issues. It's all about framing the debate. If you present the estate tax (for example) as yet another tax the government levies on you and even death is no escape from the government, then who would be for it; however, if you frame it as a tax on those with multipile million dollar mansions who's children have already huge trust funds then the public will side with you. The Democrats' position is probably closer to that of the average voter, but they do not clearly voice what that posistion is, and instead let their opposition state it for them. From this, I think the Democrats could go back to New Deal ideals and disagree with that they should only go back to 1992.

Oh and scandals...well there is just the one in Colorado with the newly outed drug using gay pastor.

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